Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.646307 0.739639 0.840828 0.958574 1.091704 1.237447 1.408972
2025-02-09 0.495693 0.620253 0.766732 0.951227 1.176908 1.443465 1.781642
2025-02-16 0.385973 0.524783 0.700756 0.939089 1.252210 1.648172 2.185306
2025-02-23 0.307648 0.452097 0.648480 0.932889 1.331772 1.868398 2.641564
2025-03-02 0.248321 0.392542 0.601840 0.924375 1.404723 2.088475 3.128884
2025-03-09 0.208092 0.352057 0.573999 0.936107 1.505749 2.359136 3.723054
2025-03-16 0.171816 0.310136 0.535964 0.924790 1.568654 2.580209 4.272101
2025-03-23 0.149140 0.285819 0.521061 0.946535 1.684694 2.895284 5.004480
2025-03-30 0.125686 0.255329 0.490168 0.935543 1.743487 3.123827 5.623689
2025-04-06 0.109842 0.235638 0.474614 0.948176 1.843267 3.430825 6.409212
2025-04-13 0.092406 0.209283 0.442035 0.923666 1.871414 3.614892 6.999875
2025-04-20 0.083942 0.199632 0.439978 0.956917 2.011184 4.014263 8.022476
2025-04-27 0.077564 0.193554 0.444727 1.005719 2.190284 4.512331 9.296029
2025-05-04 0.068692 0.180072 0.431693 1.015630 2.292731 4.876142 10.355972
2025-05-11 0.060264 0.165888 0.414688 1.014239 2.371333 5.201956 11.378822
2025-05-18 0.053198 0.153575 0.399799 1.015121 2.454710 5.546791 12.479281
2025-05-25 0.046832 0.141689 0.383821 1.010821 2.525676 5.873281 13.577518
2025-06-01 0.042365 0.133987 0.376790 1.026847 2.645290 6.317698 14.976956
2025-06-08 0.037263 0.123327 0.360298 1.016616 2.701096 6.626744 16.111768
2025-06-15 0.034280 0.118275 0.357762 1.041799 2.846420 7.154551 17.794743
2025-06-22 0.030284 0.109170 0.342479 1.030684 2.899105 7.472437 19.027268
2025-06-29 0.027644 0.103808 0.336864 1.045128 3.019521 7.964559 20.721584
2025-07-06 0.024073 0.094462 0.317843 1.018653 3.027973 8.184559 21.783666